Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 5.494422 6.011164 6.577039 7.246790 8.023184 8.901481 9.979738
2025-02-23 4.750722 5.465594 6.311523 7.403441 8.801754 10.571018 13.046037
2025-03-02 4.150270 4.920608 5.876407 7.180514 8.966299 11.413782 15.198154
2025-03-09 3.752487 4.550075 5.575880 7.037550 9.150865 12.250248 17.493869
2025-03-16 3.473868 4.291411 5.375052 6.977833 9.409587 13.205851 20.216156
2025-03-23 3.327913 4.187611 5.362033 7.166794 10.047860 14.864512 24.710810
2025-03-30 3.090236 3.934759 5.111191 6.965218 10.028525 15.401456 27.240504
2025-04-06 2.881484 3.705075 4.871192 6.748626 9.944042 15.791918 29.602911
2025-04-13 2.698097 3.498149 4.646751 6.530316 9.820562 16.075713 31.835826
2025-04-20 2.573684 3.367613 4.525155 6.463132 9.950687 16.883890 35.791931
2025-04-27 2.516781 3.331184 4.541887 6.623254 10.516984 18.736517 43.823440
2025-05-04 2.473612 3.311431 4.581307 6.823719 11.190745 21.023361 55.194742
2025-05-11 2.379958 3.217893 4.509826 6.846626 11.568081 22.870043 67.745802
2025-05-18 2.313048 3.162915 4.499084 6.984217 12.229890 25.774358 90.199659
2025-05-25 2.188925 3.010687 4.315848 6.779193 12.102408 26.437353 102.492925
2025-06-01 2.089185 2.891265 4.178964 6.647854 12.120896 27.566543 120.949927
2025-06-08 2.011153 2.802002 4.086707 6.592974 12.310092 29.341659 150.711404
2025-06-15 1.976589 2.780474 4.108739 6.766557 13.093788 33.595189 229.111224
2025-06-22 1.888795 2.667312 3.962554 6.581379 12.927764 34.251064 268.843745
2025-06-29 1.805049 2.557190 3.815670 6.382163 12.694979 34.571658 309.184466
2025-07-06 1.726561 2.452616 3.673315 6.181110 12.428998 34.674216 350.838727
2025-07-13 1.673278 2.387861 3.599170 6.119184 12.538121 36.511880 471.387529
2025-07-20 1.652578 2.376643 3.621201 6.266733 13.270349 41.792918 940.176640